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South Carolina primary

After not one, but two debates and a couple of weeks of candidates playing a game of "who can blow the hardest on the racist dog whistle?", we're finally reached the South Carolina primary. Honestly, in my mind, this is when it really starts. New Hampshire and Iowa aren't representative enough to matter.* South Carolina is totally a different ball game for Republicans. While it's not a moderate group at all, it's bigger and more representative. So if an outlier candidate like Gingrich actually comes out on top, that's going to matter. A lot. 

Jesse and I will be breathlessly covering the returns tonight, starting at 7PM EST. For obvious reasons, we've decided that we're going to use Twitter for our play-by-play coverage. If you don't follow us, you can follow me here and Jesse here. And let us all pray to the Spaghetti Monster for Newt's eventual victory. 

*Yes, yes, pedants. I know you're gleefully running to your keyboard to say, "NUH-UH. They matter in the DEMOCRATIC primary." Yes, but please stop being so literal. It's clear we're discussing the Republican primary season. And yes, I know some of them are caucuses. Calm down.

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Posted by Amanda Marcotte on 05:54 PM • (16) Comments

And let us all pray to the Spaghetti Monster for Newt’s eventual victory.

Has the mouse and disco ball been disavowed?

Comment #1: James  on  01/21  at  06:13 PM

One quibble: I think they’ve moved beyond racist dog whistling. It’s more like a racist trombat. You can hear the damn thing from Mars.

Comment #2: ryanlouiscooper  on  01/21  at  06:17 PM

Looks like the Spaghetti Monster came through for you. Newt by a big margin.

Comment #3: Dilan Esper  on  01/21  at  08:12 PM

I watched Real Time last night and the Republican shill did have a salient point that the Democrats “wanted” Reagan to run in ‘80 just like they “want” Newt to run this time. We have to be careful what we wish for. You should never underestimate reactionaries.

Liberals swore during Reagan’s presidency that they didn’t think it could get worse than Nixon.
They swore during George H.W’s presidency that they didn’t think it could get worse after Reagan.
And we swore during W’s presidency that we didn’t think it could get worse than his daddy.

This hole does not have a bottom, I think. I think the only way to avoid saying “I didn’t think it could get worse than W” is to accept that it can always be worse.

Comment #4: Mighty Ponygirl  on  01/21  at  08:26 PM

I will instead pray for Newt to be eaten by wild dogs.

Comment #5: Jake  on  01/21  at  08:36 PM

I’m tired of living in a country where one political party is trying to kill me. 

Of course, I can only imagine what it must be like for a member of a disfavored ethnicity, gender, or sexual orientation.

Comment #6: Punditus Maximus  on  01/21  at  09:21 PM

After not one, but two debates and a couple of weeks of candidates playing a game of “who can blow the hardest on the racist dog whistle?”

It’s like they’re having a blowjob contest and the dog whistle is the dildo.

Comment #7: Kyra  on  01/21  at  10:22 PM

Mighty Ponygirl #7, I think you are making a very accurate observation, but excuse me while I go hide in a dark room and rock in a fetal position.

Comment #8: Lexie  on  01/21  at  11:34 PM

How the fuck did the GOP dredge up an “inevitable”, “mainstream” candidate that can’t even keep up with Newt Gingrich?

Comment #9: pillsy  on  01/22  at  12:27 AM

Lexie—it’s not inevitable, we just can’t rest on our laurels that Newt will self-destruct and Obama will have an easy re-election because C’MON IT’S NEWT. We can beat this guy, but we have to get on our game and not take anything for granted. You can’t dismiss Gingrich because “he’s an asshole.” That’s what Republicans want. They’ve spent the last 3 years being assholes and they’re basically in the market for an Asshole In Chief.

They were on NPR tonight talking about how “Newt can’t wait to debate Obama” because Newt can’t wait to be a gaping asshole to Obama, because he knows the reactionaries will jizz themselves with delight to see Gingrich talk down to another black dude.

Comment #10: Mighty Ponygirl  on  01/22  at  12:37 AM

Agreed, now is not the time to get complacent. I still remember thinking in 2000 how W won the nomination and thinking that Gore would do better against W than if McCain had won the nomination then. And we all know how that turned out.

And yes, Obama is a far better campaigner that Gore ever was, and Gingrich self-destructs as readily as if he strides onto a landmine with every other step, but that’s still no reason to take the general election for granted, especially if people perceive the economy as still being in the doldrums (even if the reality is that it continues to recover over the rest of the year).

In politics, if you assume inevitability, then something will almost certainly come along to muck it up. W thought he had it in the bag in 200 when he won Iowa, then he lost New Hampshire to McCain and had to run a smear campaign in South Carolina to get his momentum back. Hillary Clinton thought she had the nomination in the bag in 2008 and even campaigned on her “aura of inevitability” and then Obama won. Romney has campaigned this election cycle as the “inevitable nominee” and now South Carolina has blown the Republican race wide open. The moral of the story? Claiming “inevitability” in politics is a fool’s errand, especially in a democracy where candidates are supposed to earn their victories to higher office.

We progressives would be fools to become complacent now, even if Gingrich becomes the Republican nominee. The right-wingers keep underestimating Obama’s intelligence and his ability to outmaneuver them over the long term. We should not return the favor.

Comment #11: Sutehp  on  01/22  at  01:01 AM

Well, I’m reading Al Gore’s “The Assault on Reason”.

While I’d like to say that Newt is a complete fucknozzle that has no chance against any sane politician, all bets are off if he manages to whip up the fear and hysteria of the US populace into irrationality.  If he’s the Republican candidate, his only strategy for winning is to turn your country into a bunch of frightened children.

Comment #12: Phoenician in a time of Romans  on  01/22  at  01:16 AM

Seriously, I want Newt or Santorum to win. I want a repeat of the 1992 Kulturkampf.

However, if Santorum is the nominee. I just might *())(*(&*^BJBHJH. just for insurance.

Comment #13: Bacopa  on  01/22  at  02:19 AM

Just FYI, Sulia is making your Twitter feed very difficult to read.  You might try just linking directly to the Sulia feed instead.

Comment #14: Dave Fried  on  01/22  at  06:43 AM

Wait, since when is Obama a “we”?  Newt and Obama would have exactly the same policies on climate change, the banks, and Afghanistan.

Obama’s the best of a bad lot, and it’s not close.  But he’s not “one of us.”

Comment #15: Punditus Maximus  on  01/22  at  11:42 AM

Minor nitpick, at this point, it’s no longer a dog whistle: http://open.salon.com/blog/chauncey_devega/2012/01/18/republican_racism_is_an_air_raid_siren_not_a_dog_whistle

Comment #16: DataSnake  on  01/22  at  12:11 PM
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