Login

Register

Member List

RSS Feed

Amanda | Contact

Auguste | Contact

Jesse | Contact

Pam | Contact

Next entry: Nothing To Fear But Your Intrusive Government Scaring You Previous entry: Sharecrop Them Votes!

Ways To Make Matthew Broderick Sad

imageIn a year where Democrats are highly favored to win the Presidency and increase their Congressional majorities enough to turn Joe Lieberman into the junior Senator of the Connecticut for Lieberman party, it’s a very, very bad thing that Obama is consistently ahead of John McCain in virtually every poll, and has been for months. 

The central problem with the expectations game that the media plays was never that expectations were being set and then not being met by the relevant actors.  It’s that most of the expectations are set by people purposefully acting like morons.  This post from January at Swampland (oh, Swampland…) is a quintessential version of the “expectations game” - Obama crushed South Carolina, proceeded to win the majority of Super Tuesday states, proceeded to win twelve primaries in a row…and that exact post, minus Edwards and plus other states, was the exact same “expectations game” Obama had to face for the next three months. 

It kind of reminds me of the end of Wargames, where WOPR plays tic-tac-toe until it realizes that there are no winners.  Except imagine if they’d forgotten to program in the ultimate goal of tic-tac-toe, so WOPR just kept playing until it decided what the rules where, declared victory, and then carried on with launching the entire U.S. nuclear arsenal into the Soviet Union’s rancid Godless piehole. 

 

------

Registration is now required! We're still in the process of getting it all squared away, so for the moment don't forget to Login or Register using the links in the upper left menu before starting to write your comment.

Posted by Jesse Taylor on 02:43 PM • (12) Comments

Ladyhawke!!

Comment #1: Caren, Creator of Animorphic Pancakes  on  07/16  at  03:02 PM

It was a very bad thing for the Boston Celtics that they won more games than the Lakers in the NBA Championship series.

Comment #2: Dweeze  on  07/16  at  03:29 PM

Well, if the press wasn’t doing as good a job as it is in glossing over McCain’s every misstep and stupid saying as well as painting Michelle Obama as the second coming of Stokely Carmichael and Barack Obama as Che Guevera, Obama probably would be up by 15 points right now. I’m surprised that it’s not closer, frankly.

Comment #3: Incertus, Nacho Daddy  on  07/16  at  04:17 PM

I love “Ladyhawke.”  Rutger Hauer is actually a very underrated actor.  (Stop laughing!)

As I understand it, the media is claiming that because Obama is not as far ahead in the polls at this point as Michael Dukakis, that automatically means that Obama will lose like Dukakis did.  Because of course nothing happened in the course of the campaign (Lee Atwater) that might possibly (Willie Horton) have influenced that change.

Comment #4: Mnemosyne  on  07/16  at  04:19 PM

This is just another example of the “sportsification” of politics in the US.  We don’t have parties, we have teams.  Your allegiance isn’t to a core set of principles against which you measure each candidate, your allegiance is to a name, an idea, a tribal identity that proclaims the kind of person you are/want-to-be.

Politics gets treated as if it exists in the same kind of alternate reality as a sporting event.  The Celtics beat the Lakers, and within the context of basketball in 2008 This Is Very Important.  But as far as reality goes, it means nothing.  It’s entertainment.  It’s not basically different from watching a movie or going to a concert.

OTOH, if Obama beats McCain, it actually means something, in reality.  There will be effects, large and small, that will ripple though the fabric of our society.  Too bad The Villagers only see a game…

Comment #5: MikeEss  on  07/16  at  04:25 PM

From the swampland piece:

There is no magic number that determines whether Obama has won or lost this constituency, and likely he will be at the mercy of the spin doctors and the media to who will all weigh in

In other words - the numbers don’t tell you who’s winning, we do.

Lyndon Johnson was - by all accounts - a thoroughly unpleasant man to be around. Gerald Ford was a pleasant if slightly dumb man. One of them built the Great Society (and, um, escalated Vietnam). The other pardoned Nixon.

Comment #6: pepito  on  07/16  at  04:51 PM

Ladyhawke!!

The expectations game: where media rules and reality may see each other for a few fleeting moments but may never, ever touch.

Comment #7: Aaron  on  07/16  at  05:21 PM

Rutger Hauer rocks. Never forgot him for ‘Blade Runner’ or ‘The Hitcher’.

Comment #8: don  on  07/16  at  08:39 PM

Gerald Ford was a pleasant if slightly dumb man.
When did the meme of Republican presidents being dumb start? Eisenhower, presiding over a fairly dull stretch of US history isn’t considered the brightest bulb on the porch, but we’re talking about a West Point grad, mastermind of the Allied forces invasion, and the mover behind the interstate highway system. Ford was not a stupid man: he graduated from the University of Michigan, went to Yale Law school, and served in Congress for 2 dozen years. Reagan, well, I think he had brains enough before Alzheimer’s starting eating away at them. “Poppy” Bush might have been a little dippy, and definitely had his share of struggles with his native tongue, but he was no dummy, either.  “W” may be incurious, crass, smirky, and defiantly proud of being a C-student—but he’s parlayed that into 2 terms as POTUS. Stupid like a fox.

Don’t get me wrong: I want my President to be the smartest person in the room—any room—and W is far from that, even when he’s just sitting with his wife and the dog. But pardoning Nixon is the only “dumb” thing Ford ever did, and even that wasn’t all that dumb.

Comment #9: hbsweet, empress of ice cream  on  07/17  at  01:08 AM

Mnemosyne sez:
I love “Ladyhawke.” Rutger Hauer is actually a very underrated actor.  (Stop laughing!)

My wife would agree with you about Rutger.  And we love “Ladyhawke” too.

Comment #10: JCfromNC  on  07/17  at  06:41 AM

But the ending! gaaaack! Wash, rinse. Repeat.

Comment #11: Jean  on  07/17  at  05:02 PM

The interesting thing to me about Jay Newton-Small’s piece is its prescience: Obama did go on to win SC… mostly by winning an overwhelming majority of the black vote… he lost whites: 76% of them voted for either Edwards or Clinton, and it was only the split between them that made Obama dominant. And that, as Newton-Small points out, and Jesse ignores, established the storyline for much of what followed: Obama’s challenges in winning white voters, particularly working class ones, that stuck with him right through to the (bitter) end.

Look, I get it: he’s got the nomination, and it’s a geat thing, a real advance for the country… all of it. But just as it’s troubling to have history written in advance of actual events, it’s also problematic to rewrite a history with what didn’t happen. And yes, the only winning move is not to play… but playing, in this case, seems to me to be trying to recast a story of a very close primary as if it had been overwhelmingly in one direction. It wasn’t, and that matters.

Comment #12: weboy  on  07/18  at  08:27 AM
Page 1 of 1 pages
Commenting is not available in this channel entry.